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But talks about to the macro economic situation evaluation, Gao Zhikai believed that is not suitable too optimistically. I thought that the domestic capital market is in fact not isolated, in fact is the attachment in the domestic economy development big frame, the domestic economy attaches in the international economy development big frame. Looking from the international big frame, if in the commercial real estate’s hole short-term the end of the year or the beginning of next year will expose again, regarding the bank fluidity, will lend money behavior and so on, can be significant attack, therefore I thought that domestic should prepare for full in us, must observe calmly the international finance situation the change, will not be suitable too optimistically, but will be should pay attention to the international situation by the discrete manner the change, as well as to our domestic stock market influence. The Dubai event should bring to highly the attention Gao Zhikai in replied “Negotiable securities Daily paper” inquires when indicated that the Dubai question should bring to highly the attention: the Dubai world is a developer, mainly makes the real estate development.

He asked the bank borrows the money, i.e. the bank possibly has the massive bad accounts to hide originally, now had the possibility he not to be able to keep, this amount had in a big way, different people had different views different people have different views, but World Bank statistics digit, commercial real estate bank credit loss, at least 1,000,000,000,000 above US dollar. Was equal to that after is Brother Leiman a shock-wave comes, just rose again, the commercial real estate has the such big matter, what moreover takes the lead to have an accident is Dubai, moreover Dubai is most should not have an accident, because his pocket is deepest.

High spots. Businessmen are invited to open companies bank’s Liu Dong shines in its report writes, if the debt crisis spreads continually, takes refuge from danger the mood the rise rapidly to be able to enable US dollar to become the biggest winner, although the US says from the rating angle, also has the degradation risk, but because US dollar takes refuge from danger the currency finally the special position, in fact US’s financing will not have any difficulty, therefore its financial deficit will not become the wick which the rating decline and the market will undersell.

On November 29, in “Negotiable securities Daily paper” sponsors at the fifth China stock market annual meeting, Beijing Stockholder’s rights Investment fund Association executive member of the council concurrently International board President Mr. Gao Zhikai has made the splendid speech. In the numerous attending honored guests firm will favor in the futures economy situation, Mr. Gao Zhikai will be in the attending the meeting honored guest discrete faction only representative.

Gao Zhikai thought that present looked is not suitable too optimistically. Regarding present universal attention’s Dubai crisis, he indicated that the Dubai crisis is possibly a series of crisis’s first artillery, should take seriously to the Dubai event. Guo Degang the right and wrong mutual hatred history is very much big the bottom (group chart) The medical department pays attention to the baby early puberty The asset management company collaborates the place to make PE The petroleum 600,000,000,000 projects seek the privately operated partner Beijing sum total subsidy Public hospital loss The Federal Reserve discusses the rest difficult word withdrawal on Tuesday Associates over 1,000,000,000 buys stock the divine land to rent a car micro abundant the minority rich person grain bin room does not have the influence to the poor person It is not suitable too optimistically to the international finance situation Gao Zhikai indicated at the meeting that the domestic stock market will possibly go out the lightning. why is this Because the American finance supervision simply has not made the substantive improvement, particularly the American developed country cannot see has the new point of growth, will how possibly consider the such big disaster later on the smooth recovery, even if now the banking industry did recover the later new point of growth in where.

The non-agricultural employment data is confirmed that the American economy moves toward as well as the Federal Reserve formulates one of monetary policy important targets. Recently announced the data demonstrated that the American economic growth was quite good. Monday’s economic data demonstrated that US’s manufacturing industry is quite good, the US Supply management Association announces in April manufacturing industry index is 60.4, this has been since June’s, 2004 best performance.
The same date also has data and so on construction disbursement which as well as income and expense the American Department of commercial affairs announces also has the good performance. Actually, announced last week the American GDP data already let mostly the analyst favor the American economic prospect.

The US the GDP year link compared to grows 3.2% in the first quarter, and the sub-item data demonstrated that the individual consumption is biggest to fuel economic growth’s contribution, this is precisely draws the American economic growth continually the power. The analyst believed that looking from the GDP data, the American economic growth is more balanced, the personal expense can continue the positive fuel economic growth, although moreover stock change to the GDP degree of contribution drop, but industrial output and the durable goods order form rises continuously, as well as the ISM manufacturing industry index is also very sharp, suggested that the investment in enterprise the growth with stability and will draw the economy.
However, also some people prompt the American personal expense the growth also to face some uncertainty factor, like the income growth rate is relatively slow, Monday announces American in March personal income month rate growth 0.3%; Also has US real estate market restoration somewhat to be still weak; As well as The US government stimulation policy’s withdrawal will possibly suppress the expense growth and so on. Businessmen are invited to open companies bank (600036, stock) analyst Liu Dongliang believed that the American economy already passed the recovery channel, before arriving at the normal growth the front door.

He said that recently US’s economic indicator was nearly comprehensive changes for the better, perhaps lacked is in front of the goal a foot -The non-agricultural employment, if April’s employment data could also maintain the good growth, that might announce that the American economy entered the growth stage. Euro once again refurbishing one year new low The American economical fundamental plane turns for the better advantage good US dollar, because Eurozone is having been through repeatedly the debt question, US dollar has become foreign exchange’s winner while this opportunity, or traded an angle saying that the American economic data aggravated strongly had already faced the debt crisis pressure a euro burden. Although the American economy changes for the better unceasingly, but the Federal Reserve has not changed temporarily lengthens the time maintenance low interest rate the pledge, but many analysts already pointed out that in the future the US and the Eurozone economic gap will further expand, this in medium and long-term advantage good US dollar, and US dollar will have takes refuge from danger the attribute also to let US dollar profit from the debt crisis. In Greece by rating organization lowering after trash level, European Union and the International Monetary Fund already announced that avoids it to the Greek capital 110,000,000,000 euros presenting the violation the situation, what but is pitiful, the market has not made frontage to this news to respond, the organization still suggested meets Gao Zuokong the euro, will invest Master Luojiesi also in this time emphasis euro destiny possibly zai weilai 20 nian nei the end.
On Tuesday the European time interval, the euro exchanges US dollar refurbishing one year low point to drop to under once again 1.3100, to the debt question’s anxious suppression risk by chance, Ou Gu as well as mostly the non-beautiful currency declines, US dollar index rises to 83.

According to White House’s reckoning, ten year The US government accumulated deficit will amount to 9,000,000,000,000 US dollars in the future, the US accumulates total liabilities close 23,000,000,000,000 US dollars to 2019, approximately composes GDP 76%. The large amount debt becomes buries in the American economy a biggest timing bomb. In addition, causes another big reason which the US places slides is, the people worried that government’s crisis counter measures improper will harm the US in the future the competitive power. The report showed that many commercial associations worried, The US government excessively will intervene in the future possibly the market, this will cause the US, in the government and the market will relate this item on the place to drop to 48th.

After the fund arriving’s supervision use, the tentative plan is originally hands over by the International Monetary Fund IMF management, time 80% fund use must meet the IMF terms of credit. But this conference decided that will establish an independent local economy cognizant agency, supervises the fund and the local economy movement. Generally speaking, International Monetary Fund is various countries has time debt crisis’s final money-lender, but in view of the fact that it formerly rescued the country the defeat case, Southeast Asia’s common foreign exchange fund tenable behavior itself showed that does not trust to IMF, now does not hand over by IMF manages explains this point.
IMF has been continued by the marginalization tendency. according to public media material synthesis reorganization analysis.